From 11 days of ‘average doubling rate’ in infections as late as May 23, or two months since the beginning of the lockdown, cases in Mumbai are now taking 23 days to double, data issued by the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) showed. P-North ward (Malad) is the only exception, where the number of cases is still doubling in 11 days, compared with six days in late May.
To be sure, the time taken for cases to double hides the base effect of the initial number of cases.
According to BMC officials, infections in the city peaked around the latter half of May. Mumbai’s condition has gradually improved after May 23. On that day, cases doubled within 10 days or less in 14 out of the 24 administrative wards at BMC. In Ghatkopar, Malad, Goregaon, and Bhandup, cases were doubling in seven days or less. However, by June 8, the situation has improved considerably. Now, cases are taking 19 days to double at GhatkoparGoregaon in P-South ward is witnessing a doubling rate of 17 days from the earlier 7, while Bhandup is taking 14 days. In G-North, which includes Dadar, cases are taking about 40 days to double: This inner-city suburb has among the highest number of cases in the city, nearing 3,500.